I TRIED my very best, but couldn’t find one at Newmarket to put my money where my mouth is.
It’s a tricky day on the July course, but I have three up my sleeve from Ascot and York in what will likely be a feeble attempt at following up yesterday’s 725-1 treble.
We start in Berkshire and rather un-originally with a short-priced favourite trained by Charlie Appleby, running in the Godolphin blue.
AMERICAN GRAFFITI (Ascot, 3.25) skipped a hot handicap at Newmarket for this and while a penalty kick is a tad over optimistic, he really should be winning this.
He hosed up on handicap debut, beating the steadily improving Takumi with ease by three lengths.
He’s rightly been chucked up 9lbs for that, but I just can’t see a mark of 94 being too much for him.
Profit and Loss – Using SP*
As one of only two three-year-olds in the field he gets plenty of weight from his rivals and should take this on his way to plenty better races.
It’s a simple case, and he’ll be a short price, but a winner is a winner and I’m confident he’ll get the job done.
It’s a quick slog up to Yorkshire next and I’m keen on the chances of ARCHIE PERKINS (York, 3.45) in a tricky and wide-open handicap.
He always travels well but has struggled on slower ground on his last two starts, despite plugging on respectably in decent races.
3.25 Ascot – AMERICAN GRAFFITI 2pt win (NAP)
3.45 York – ARCHIE PERKINS 0.5pt ew
4.00 Ascot – WHITE CHOCOLATE 1pt win
Conditions are back in his favour here and I’m confident he’ll turn the form around with Music Seeker.
He was third to that rival over course and distance when chasing a hat-trick two starts back and suffered a horrid trip out wide that day.
That cost him late on despite threatening on the outside and he has a better draw this time.
He’s a horse still on the up and again at Beverley last time out he stood no chance off a steady pace from a shocker of a draw and came through late, once again, like a well-handicapped horse.
At an each-way price he looks like a good bet at York for the in-form Nigel Tinkler team.
Back down ‘sath for the final of the terrible trio – and I’m in the David Simcock camp in this hot fillies handicap over a mile-and-a-half.
WHITE CHOCOLATE (Ascot, 4.00) has struggled since coming back as a five-year-old, but as a result has dropped down to an attractive mark and after a slow start to the season, the Simcock team has started to make up for lost time.
She ran in this race last season off a 3lbs higher mark and was an unlucky third, behind two good horses, one of which went on to run in the St Leger.
This looks a different race with a handful of three-year-old fillies firmly on the up. But returned to quicker ground and dropped back in trip, I’m happy to take a swing at what looks a generous price.
The first-time cheekpieces worry me a tad, but I’m hopeful the upturn in Simcock’s form will see this filly return to form.
Adam Kirby is booked, which is interesting as he rode her in this last season, and if she does need a bit more urging these days, he’s the man.